20 August 2006 - 10:28am
GOP Misremembering the lessons of 1968
GOP pundits have misremembered and misread history in hopes that the same forces that destroyed the Democratic Party in 1968 don't repeat themselves, this time with the Republicans getting swept aside. Maybe Ramesh Ponnuru was not yet born; maybe David Brooks was too young to remember it well; maybe George Will's memory has failed him, but in 1968 the Democrats were destroyed because they were PRO-war, not anti-war.
In recent news panels, Ponnuru, Brooks, and Will, have each said that in 1968 the anti-War faction of the Democrats lead the Party to defeat, yet in 1968 the Democratic standard bearer, Hubert Humphrey dared not cross his boss, Lyndon Johnson, and take a strong anti-War stance. Thus, it was Richard Nixon who claimed to have a "secret plan" to end the war, who left the albatross of Vietnam hang around the neck of the Democrats.
Orson Wells in his "The Begetting of the President," a sort of biblical take-off on the politics of the time, reads the story from "The Book of Hubert" (Job) and it is sad and ironic and it hit the point, smack on. Hubert dared not speak against LBJ, or "charge foolishly." His loyalty was being tested and hence the standard bearer could not speak of the mistake of Vietnam in the way he needed to and early enough.
The real tragedy for this nation was the assassination of Senator Robert F. Kennedy. Kennedy won the 1968 California primary and on the night of his victory he said, "now it's on to Chicago and let's win there," (at the Democratic National Convention). Moments later he was shot through the head by an assassin.
Of course these things can never be proven, but had Kennedy lived to go to the Democratic Convention, he may well have won there and taken the election. Kennedy may well have been able to end the War sooner than Nixon and with less cost.
As it was, the anti-War Democrats did not lose because their policy was wrong. They lost because their standard bearer was murdered. Robert F. Kennedy would have had no problem at all saying Johnson's Policy had failed.
Today the pundits of the GOP are misremembering the lessons of 1968. In fact, we see a similar foolishness with Lieberman who unlike Humphrey is not beholding to the President, does not charge "foolishly" and in being pro-war has painted himself into a bit of a political corner.
The lesson of 1968 is not that the anti-War wing causes Democrats to lose elections. In my view it is that rhetoric about the war being right and let's not talk against the war is a way to lose.
The GOP is following in the footsteps of LBJ and the 1968 rout.
November draws near and time will tell.
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Comments
I keep hearing about McCarthy Democrats, as if they carried the banner. But Gene did not win the nomination, Hubert Humphrey did. And lost.
Indeed. Humphrey proved to be the pro-war candidate and he lost. The GOP is misreading the events of 1968.
The dark side of this is that while Vietnam was needless and tragic, pulling out of Vietnam did not cost the national a great deal, except for its ego. The Middle East, on the other hand, is far worse. The fact that so much petroleum flows from the Middle East changes this equation drastically.
The end-game in Vietnam was pretty clear. The North would take over the South once the United States pulled out. The outcome of an American pullout from Iraq is less clear. A unification on Iraq is by no means a done deal if the Americans pull out. The continued future of Iraq is in question. The result of a pullout might be similar to what we saw in the Balkans at the end of the last century. Without a strong man (Tito or Saddam) the relatively artificial creation (Iraq) simply disappears ... or rather, its pieces are up for grabs.
The GOP claims the Democrats and others are offering a policy of cut-and-run, but the GOP has forgotten the story of the "Tar Baby" from Brer Rabbit. The GOP tries to say it is noble and brave and strong and right, when in actually it's stuck to the Tar Baby and does not know how to let go -- the more it fights, the more entangle it becomes.
One of the best things that might have happened to John Kerry was to NOT win the 2004 election. But it should be cold comfort to us all, for this misadventure into the Middle East has consequences that are beyond our seeing, even if we stay ... and that's the most frightening part of all.
On the other hand, consider how much better off we'd be had Al Gore won (or been allowed to take office after the election he won) in 2000.
No Bush-league Iraq war.
Real focus on al-Qaeda.
Real focus on Afghanistan.
Someone to veto the Republican Congress's profligate spending.
Oh, and some saner energy policies.
But we cannot play what-if, alas. Bush & Co. made a mess of things, and we and our children and our children's children get to clean it up, long after Bush and Cheney are gone in comfortable retirement.
I agree with mediagirl, that things might have gone better. My fear is that with the United States in so deep, that once we extricate ourselves, the United States will have been weakened far more than we know.